Astros vs Athletics Prediction - MLB Picks 7/22/23

Oakland Athletics (27-73) vs Houston Astros (55-43)

Game Info: Saturday, July 22, 2023 at 9:07 pm (Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum)

Paul Blackburn (1-2) (5.48) vs Cristian Javier (7-1) (4.39)

Betting Odds: Oakland Athletics +170 / Houston Astros -200 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Astros will play the Oakland Athletics in Game 3 of their series on Saturday night at the Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, California. Houston won the second Game in this series by a score of 6-4 on Friday night. The Astros hit four home runs in the Game, with Kyle Tucker hitting three of the four. 

Astros Preview

The Houston Astros are 55-43 this season and they have won three Games in a row. Houston also won Game 1 in this series by a score of 3-1 on Thursday night. Prior to winning the first two Games in this series, Houston split a two Game series with the Rockies. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average this year. The Astros offense has scored 461 runs with a .249 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Kyle Tucker is batting .303 with 17 home runs and 68 RBI’s for the Astros. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Cristian Javier, who is 7-1 with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 96.1 innings pitched this season.

Athletics Preview

The Oakland Athletics are 27-73 this season and they have lost 10 of their last 12 Games. Prior to this series, Oakland won two out of three Games at home against Boston. The Oakland pitching staff has a 5.97 ERA, a 1.53 WHIP, and a .270 opponent batting average. The Athletics offense has scored 358 runs with a .221 batting average and a .300 on base percentage this season. Ryan Noda is batting .229 with 11 home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Athletics. The projected starting pitcher for Oakland is Paul Blackburn, who is 1-2 with a 5.48 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 42.2 innings pitched this year. 

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Oakland Athletics Team Facts

  • The Athletics have lost each of their last 11 games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Athletics have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Athletics have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Athletics have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five night games at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum against AL West opponents.
  • The Athletics have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Houston Astros Team Facts

  • The Astros have won 14 of their last 15 games against the Athletics.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favourites against the Athletics.
  • The Astros have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Astros' last three games as favourites against AL West opponents.

Oakland Athletics Player Prop Facts

  • Aledmys Diaz has recorded at least one total base in seven of his last eight appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Paul Blackburn has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum.
  • Seth Brown has hit a home run in each of his last three Saturday appearances with the Athletics as underdogs.
  • Tony Kemp has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 appearances at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Tucker has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Astros' last three games as road favourites.
  • Cristian Javier has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Astros' last six road games against AL opponents.
  • Alex Bregman has hit a home run in each of the Astros' last three games against AL West opponents.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros' last 17 games as favourites against AL opponents.
  • Kyle Tucker ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.380) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Oakland Athletics ranks 30th in the league for batting average this season (.221).
  • The Oakland Athletics ranks 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.356).
  • The Houston Astros ranks T4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (765).
  • The Houston Astros ranks 5th in the league for strikeouts this season (912).

Pick

The Astros have won the first two Games in this series and they will go for the series win in this matchup. Houston has played very well over the last few weeks and they are closing in on the Texas Rangers in the AL West standings. The Astros are also a great road team and will be facing one of the worst teams in baseball here. Houston is starting Cristian Javier, who has allowed 3, 8, 6, and 4 earned runs over his last four starts. Oakland is starting Paul Blackburn, who has allowed five earned runs or more in two straight starts (10.2 IP). Javier has had some really poor outings for the Astros this year and it would not surprise me to see Oakland get to him here. Take the over in this Game. 

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